Where the two weeks go
Almost none of it is work. Other people’s reply times set the schedule. That’s why you can’t cram it into a weekend. It’s also why it doesn’t need a quarter.
| What you do | Hours | What you’re waiting on | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Days 1–2 | Write the pass marks. Name one buyer and three places you can reach them. | 3 | Nothing. Do this before anything else. |
| Days 2–5 | Send your messages. Read what your buyers already posted in public about the problem. | 4 | Replies. Expect a third of them. |
| Days 4–9 | Have the conversations. Ask about the last time it happened, never about what they’d do. | 5 | Their calendars. |
| Days 6–8 | Put up one page that makes one promise and asks for one commitment. | 3 | Nothing. |
| Days 8–14 | Send strangers to the page. Count. | 2 | Enough visitors for the number to mean something. |
Add it up. It’s a long weekend of effort spread across fourteen days. The two weeks are the delivery time, not the labour.
Write the pass mark first
Say you haven’t written down what counts as success. Then you can go on forever. Every result invites one more test. Eight of twelve told you the problem was real. Is that good? Without a number written down first, that means whatever you need it to mean. You decide that when you read the result.
That’s the real reason a plan runs long. Not because you are being thorough. Because nothing was pinned down. Decide in advance what the numbers mean. Seven of ten people describe the problem before you ask? Go. Five? Stop. Then it ends on the day of the tenth conversation. We wrote the full version, gate by gate. It is in the four-gate framework.
Month three is not validation
If your plan runs long, look at what is filling the extra weeks. It’s one of four things, and none of them are tests.
- Building a demo so people have something to react to.
- Fixing the page again instead of sending more people to it.
- Waiting for a bigger sample. The pattern was already clear at twelve.
- Reading up on the market rather than talking to it.
Every one of those feels like good work. The sign is that none of them can fail. A test you can’t fail gives you no information. It gives you the feeling of progress. That feeling is what four-month builds are made of.
When two weeks is too short
Access is the one real exception. Say your buyer is a committee at a hospital. Or a bank that the regulators watch. You won’t have ten conversations in five days. Pretend otherwise and you end up with the wrong people. You talk to the ones who answer, not to the ones who matter.
The fix is to be patient about the calendar. And strict about the pass mark. Same gates, same pass marks, longer wait. What you must not do is lower the pass mark. Swap real buyers for the people you can reach, and you have validated the wrong market.
Start today, decide on the 14th
The best hour you will spend is the first one. It needs no research at all. Open a document. Write down the four things that would have to be true. Then write a number next to each one. Everything after that is scheduling.
The first days go to finding where your buyers talk, and what they already said. That is the part we do for you. We find the complaints and the communities, and every quote links to its thread. Doing it by hand is covered in our guide to validating a startup idea. And how much it costs covers the rest of this question.
